Archives 2018

Out of Luck: 10 Betting Mistakes We’re All Guilty Of

On paper, sports betting might seem rather straightforward, but if it really was as simple as picking the right winner, wouldn’t every bookmaker be out of business by now? The truth is, the players themselves are their own worst enemy when it comes to betting. Here’s a look at some of the biggest and most common mistakes players are guilty of, that keep them from laughing all the way to the bank.

Chasing Losses

Should you lose a bet, the best thing you can do is accept it as part of the game and move on. Trying to win back what you lost to the bookmaker will likely lead to even more disappointment. Keep your cool and go into your next bet with a level head for best results. Find more eSports betting sites under

Over-Reliance on Outside Advice

There are a lot of awesome betting communities out there where you can get tips and advice from experienced, knowledgeable players. The thing is, no one is right 100% of the time, and if they were, they probably wouldn’t make that fact public.

Trust in yourself and your own instincts because, at the end of the day, it’s your bet on the line.

Betting Under The Influence

There are many things alcohol doesn’t mix well with, and betting is up at the top of the list. While drinking, you will find it difficult to stick to your strategies and might end up making betting mistakes that wouldn’t happen while you’re sober.

The Betting Jack-of-all-trades

Successful punters know that you can’t be an expert in everything. Figure out which sports you have the best knowledge of and focus your betting strategy on them. Bookmakers have expert analyzers looking at every game before they set the odds, so you can’t expect to beat a dozen different specialists with your spread out bets. Pick one or two and stick to them.That’s the way to clear a profit against the house pros.

Not Betting Value

If you want to achieve profit in the long term, you have to consider the concept of betting value. Betting value refers to betting only when the odds and probability are on your side. This isn’t easy, as the higher the value, the bigger the bookmaker’s mistake has to be for you to win.

Deciding if a bet has value for you is the hard part. It calls for a great deal of knowledge on the sport, as well as a good head for odds and probabilities, as well as the discipline to analyze bets rationally.

Poor Record-Keeping

Understandably, whether true or not, every sports bettor you meet will tell you that they are making money. That’s just human nature. The problem comes in when players begin to lie to themselves. See, every player who wishes to make a profit from betting needs to keep accurate records of all their plays – whether it’s a win or a loss.

The true pros do this honestly so that they can see what works and what doesn’t. It’s just good business.

Betting With Your Heart

To be honest, it’s quite possible to make bad betting judgments while completely sober. A team you like might have a game, and so you place a bet on them even when the odds are against you. Big mistake. When you allow your feelings to dictate your betting strategy, you’re bound to lose in the end, and you won’t have learned anything useful for next time.

Making Things Too Complicated

There are no shortcuts in the world of betting. The house will always have the advantage at the end of the day, no matter what anybody else tells you. Strategies such as the Martingale, where a player makes each progressive bet twice as large as the preceding losing bet until they get a big win that covers all the previous losses only work if you’ve got a nearly limitless stack of cash. I bet you don’t. Manage your bet limits with sensibility and stick to your strategy to avoid getting wiped out experimenting with wonder systems that will ultimately let you down.

Misplaced Loyalty

When it comes to bookmakers and banks, the principles of loyalty, admirable as they are, don’t apply. Stick with one bookmaker if they always offer you the best deals and terms, otherwise, you shouldn’t think twice about changing things up.

Credit Betting

Credit, whether it’s used to buy something or place a bet, is rarely a healthy way of doing things. It makes you more likely to make poor judgments as you rush to pay back the money, which might sink you even further into a hole. Stick to your strategy, only bet with cash you can afford to lose, and you’ll be fine whatever the outcome.

Our Human Nature

As you’ll have noticed, most of the mistakes listed are more or less as a result of basic human nature. For success, you’ll have to develop the discipline to resist these tendencies while working on your sports knowledge, analytical skills, as well as emotional coolness. Remember that when it comes to betting, you’re running a marathon, not dashing a hundred meters, so keep it steady.

Massive Clash in Madrid

In terms of international football, it does not get much bigger than a match between Spain and Italy. Both teams have excellent international pedigree and it was a shock when they were drawn together in the same World Cup qualifying group.  Only one team can go through automatically, meaning one of Spain and Italy will be in the playoff round.

The Spanish have qualified for every World Cup finals since 1978 and won the World Cup in 2010.  They are aiming to make up for their display when defending their title in 2014, as they were eliminated at the group stage.

Italy have won the World Cup four times and their last victory came in Germany at the 2006 World Cup.  They have qualified for every World Cup finals since 1962 and a World Cup without Italy does not seem right.

Spain Form

Spain are currently top of UEFA World Cup qualifying Group G with 16 points from their 6 games played.  They have won 5 and drawn 1, with the point coming in the away match against Italy.

Spain’s superior goal difference is what separates them from Italy at the top of the group and they have scored an average of 3.5 goals per match during qualifying.  Spain have also been tight defensively, conceding just 3 times.

The Spanish have a fantastic World Cup qualifying record and have remained undefeated in their previous 59 World Cup qualifying games.  You must go back to 1993 and the away match in Denmark to find the last time Spain lost a World Cup qualifier.

Italy Form

The Italians come into this match sitting second in the group on goal difference from Spain.  Both teams have 16 points having won 5 and drawn 1 of their 6 games but Spain have a 4-goal advantage when it comes to goal difference.

Including friendlies, Italy have won their last 5 matches and conceded just a single goal across all 5 games.  They will be hoping their defence can produce a similar performance in this game and if so, they should claim at least point.

Italy have remained undefeated in their last 33 World Cup qualifying games, with their last defeat coming at Slovenia in 2004.

Team News

Spain have chosen to recall veteran striker David Villa to the squad, who is currently playing his football in Major League Soccer.  However, Alvaro Morata is expected to get the nod in attack with support from David Silva in midfield.  Sergio Ramos will captain the team.

Italy have several well-known faces in their defensive set-up and Gianluigi Buffon is set to win his 170th cap in this match.  He will be joined in defence by the uncompromising trio of Giorgio Chiellini, Andrea Barzagli, and Leonardo Bonucci.

Top Betting Tips

This is an extremely difficult match to call and both teams will be very wary of not wanting to lose this game.  That could lead to a tactical match and the draw is available at 13/5 with Bet365.

Italy have been improving on their defensive record in recent games and will not be committing too many men forward in this match.  Spain will be expected to take the game to Italy being the home team but don’t expect many clear-cut chances, especially early in the match.  Under 2.5 goals is 27/20 with Bet365.

With undefeated records like both these teams possess, neither loses games easily and if it is going to be a close match the 1-1 correct score, like in the reverse fixture, is tempting at 6/1 with William Hill. More Information about William Hill in this William Hill review.